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As a result, the hardest hit Congressional districts were located in California and Texas, where remaining jobs in those industries are concentrated, and in North Carolina, which was hard hit by job displacement in a variety of manufacturing industries. But the jobs impact of the China trade deficit is not restricted to job loss and displacement. Competition with low- wage workers from less- developed countries has also driven down wages for other workers in manufacturing and reduced the wages and bargaining power of similar workers throughout the economy. The impact has affected essentially all production workers with less than a four- year college degree. For a typical full- time median- wage earner in 2. Bivens 2. 00. 8). China is the most important source of downward pressure from trade with less- developed countries, because it pays very low wages and because it was responsible for nearly 4. U. S. The $7. 3 billion deficit in advanced technology products with China in 2. U. S.- China trade deficit. The growth of this deficit contributed to the elimination of 6. U. S. Other hard- hit industrial sectors include apparel and accessories (1. The hardest- hit Congressional districts had large numbers of workers displaced by manufacturing trade, especially in computer and electronic parts, apparel, and durable goods manufacturing. The three hardest hit Congressional districts were all located in Silicon Valley in California, including the 1. Santa Clara county, 2. Palo Alto and nearby cities, 2. San Jose and other parts of Santa Clara county, 1. The hardest hit Congressional districts were concentrated in states that were heavily exposed to growing China trade deficits in computer and electronic products and other industries such as furniture, textiles, and apparel. Of the top 2. 0 hardest hit districts (see Table 5, below), eight were in California (in rank order, the 1. North Carolina (1. Texas (3. 1st, 1. Massachusetts (5th and 3rd), and one each in Oregon (1st), Georgia (9th), and Alabama (5th). Each of these districts lost more than 8,6. The pool of skilled engineering and technical workers who can build and maintain critical infrastructure is dwindling, and we have to do something about it. SkillTV is dedicated to dissecting the issues, ramifications and. This is a background blog which will support the release of my Fantasy Budget 2013-14, which will be part of Crikey’s Budget coverage leading up to the delivery of the Federal Budget on May 14, 2013. The topic of this blog. Currency manipulation. A major cause of the rapidly growing U. S. Unlike other currencies, the Chinese yuan does not fluctuate freely against the dollar. While the value of its currency should have increased as China exported more and more goods, it has instead remained artificially low, and China has aggressively acquired dollars to further depress the value of its own currency. China has tightly pegged its currency to the U. S. China had to purchase $4. U. S. About 7. 0% of these reserves are held in U. S. This intervention makes the yuan artificially cheap relative to the dollar, effectively subsidizing Chinese exports. The best estimates place this effective subsidy at roughly 4. U. S. China extensively suppresses labor rights, which lowers production costs within China. An AFL- CIO study estimated that repression of labor rights by the Chinese government has lowered manufacturing wages of Chinese workers by 4. AFL- CIO 2. 00. 6, 1. China has also been shown to provide massive direct subsidization of export production in many key industries (see, e. Haley 2. 00. 8, 2. Finally, it maintains strict, non- tariff barriers to imports. While the overall U. S. The increase in the U. S.- China trade deficit declined from $2. United States. Beginning in 2. Displaced Worker Program IllinoisEuro and the Canadian dollar. However, yuan appreciation was largely delayed until late 2. While Chinese exporters were able to absorb the impact of a higher yuan by lowering profit margins, at least through mid- 2. China. Widespread currency manipulation has also contributed to the growth of very large, global current account imbalances. Cline and Williamson (2. Asian countries that are undervalued relative to the dollar, in order to rebalance global current account flows: China, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Taiwan, and Singapore. They call for reducing the U. S. They estimate that the yuan needs to rise 4. U. S. Cline and Williamson project that global currency realignment would result in a 5. U. S. As a result, the currencies of many other countries, including Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, and Brazil, as well as the United States, have become overvalued on a trade- weighted basis. As a result of China. Between 2. 00. 8 and 2. U. S. The United States also negotiated a series of special safeguard measures designed to limit the disruptive effects of surging Chinese imports on domestic producers. However, the core of the agreement failed to include any protections to maintain or improve labor or environmental standards and, prior to 2. In September 2. 00. Obama administration announced that it would take action to restrict imports of Chinese tires for three years under the special safeguard measures, the first time since 2. China. This shift has increased the global . President Clinton claimed that the agreement allowing China into the WTO, which was negotiated during his administration, . He argued that exports to China . Others in the White House, such as Kenneth Liberthal, the special advisor to the president and senior director for Asia affairs at the National Security Council, echoed Clinton. China exports far more to the U. S. Each $1 billion in computer exports to China from the United States supports American jobs. However, each $1 billion in computer imports from China displaces the American workers who would have been employed making them in the United States. On balance, the net employment effect of trade flows depends on the growth in the trade deficit, not just exports. Another critically important promise made by the promoters of liberalized U. S.- China trade was that the United States would benefit because of increased exports to a large and growing consumer market in China. However, despite widespread reports of the rapid growth of the Chinese middle class, this growth has not resulted in a significant increase in U. S. The most rapidly growing exports to China are bulk commodities such as grains, scrap, and chemicals; intermediate products such as semiconductors; and producer durables such as aircraft (see Table 3 below). Furthermore, the increase in U. S. Since China entered the WTO in 2. While it is true that exports support jobs in the United States, it is equally true that imports displace them. The net effect of trade flows on employment is determined by changes in the trade balance. The employment impacts of growing trade deficits are estimated in this paper using an input- output model that estimates the direct and indirect labor requirements of producing output in a given domestic industry. The model includes 2. U. S. Even if increases in demand in other sectors absorb all the workers displaced by trade (an unlikely event), it is likely that job quality will suffer, as many non- traded industries such as retail trade and home health care pay lower wages and have less- comprehensive benefits than traded- goods industries. U. S. Therefore, the $8. Job displacement rose to 3,3. Since China. In 2. On average, 3. 45,5. China. China is moving rapidly . Trade flows increased dramatically in this period, especially imports, which rose from $1. Manufactured goods were 9. Computer and electronic products were responsible for one- third of total imports, including computer equipment ($4. Other major importing sectors included apparel ($2. U. S. Manufacturing was the top industry exporting to China. Scrap and second- hand goods industries (that support no jobs in the BLS models) made up 1. Within manufacturing, key export sectors included chemicals ($8. However, the scale of U. S. The United States has had a trade deficit with China in advanced technology products (ATP) throughout this period, but it increased more than six- fold, from $1. The United States had a deficit in its ATP trade with the rest of the world in 2. However, rapid growth of U. S. ATP exports to the rest of the world, which increased 7. This sector is enjoying some trade success at the moment. However, this small surplus was completely overwhelmed by the U. S. ATP deficit with China in 2. As a result, the United States ran an overall deficit in ATP products in 2. Growing trade deficits with China eliminated 1,6. By far the largest job losses occurred in the computer and electronic products sectors, which lost nearly 6. This sector included computer and peripheral equipment (3. Other hard- hit sectors included apparel and accessories (1. Several service industries, which provide key inputs to traded- goods production, experienced large job losses, including administrative and support services (1. Trade, jobs, and the states. Growth in trade deficits with China has reduced demand for goods produced in every region of the United States and has led to job displacement in all 5. District of Columbia, as shown in Table 4a. Jobs displaced due to growing deficits with China exceeded 1. New Hampshire, North Carolina, Massachusetts, California, Oregon, Minnesota, Rhode Island, Alabama, Idaho, and South Carolina, as shown in Table 4a and Figure A. More than 3. 00,0. California and more than 1. Texas, New York, Illinois, and Florida, as shown in Table 4b. 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